MORNING.BRIEF

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

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Markets Snapshot

Equities

S&P 500
6,775.70
1d: 🔴 (0.1%)   YTD: 🟢 +0.7%
NASDAQ
22,716.14
1d: 🟢 +0.1%   YTD: 🔴 (2.4%)
Dow
47,417.27
1d: 🔴 (0.6%)   YTD: 🟢 +2.1%
Russell 2000
2,540.33
1d: 🔴 (0.3%)   YTD: 🟢 +6.2%
MSCI EAFE
2,210.48
1d: 🔴 (0.5%)   YTD: 🟢 +10.1%
MSCI EM
996.76
1d: 🔴 (0.4%)   YTD: 🟢 +14.9%
Mag 7
61.94
1d: 🟢 +0.3%   YTD: 🔴 (0.6%)

Rates, FX & Volatility

10Y Treasury
4.16%
1d: 🟢 +7bps   YTD: 🟢 +41bps
30Y Treasury
4.78%
1d: 🟢 +6bps   YTD: 🟢 +48bps
DXY
99.38
1d: 🟢 +0.6%   YTD: 🟢 +2.5%
VIX
24.77
1d: 🔴 (0.6%)   YTD: 🟢 +3.2%

Commodities

Gold
$5,183.90
1d: 🔴 (1.1%)   YTD: 🟢 +3.0%
Brent Crude
$91.98
1d: 🟢 +4.8%   YTD: 🟢 +22.8%

Crypto

BTC
$70,783
1d: 🟢 +0.7%   YTD: 🟢 +3.0%
ETH
$2,200
1d: 🔴 (0.4%)   YTD: 🟢 +6.8%
SOL
$87.29
1d: 🔴 (3.5%)   YTD: 🟢 +5.1%
Sector Moves: Energy surged 2.5% on oil price strength, while Tech gained 0.4% led by Oracle's 9.2% post-earnings rally. Utilities and Consumer Staples lagged, down 0.6% and 0.7% respectively.
Drivers: Markets diverged as Iran conflict drove oil above $90 despite IEA's historic 400M barrel reserve release. February CPI met expectations at 2.4% YoY, but geopolitical risk and energy-driven inflation concerns overshadowed the data.
88

Stryker Shares Sink 5% After Cyberattack Linked to Iran-Backed Hacking Group

Med-tech giant Stryker experienced a severe global disruption across its Windows environment Wednesday, with staff reporting the logo of pro-Palestinian group Handala on their computers. The Wall Street Journal reported the attack is potentially linked to an Iran-backed hacking group, marking an escalation of cyber warfare amid the physical conflict.

85

February CPI Meets Expectations at 2.4% YoY, But Energy Shock Looms

February's Consumer Price Index rose 2.4% year-over-year, in line with forecasts, but the data predates the Iran conflict's energy impact. With WTI crude at $87.25 and Brent at $91.98, analysts warn the full inflationary effect won't appear until March and April readings, potentially delaying Fed rate cuts beyond July.

💡 CPI (Consumer Price Index) — measures the average change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services; the Fed's 2% target refers to a different measure (PCE), but CPI is released earlier and closely watched.

78

G7 Leaders to Meet This Week on Coordinated Oil Supply Response

G7 finance ministers are scheduled to convene later this week to discuss coordinated efforts to manage global oil supplies and mitigate the economic impact of the Middle East conflict. The meeting follows the IEA's 400M barrel reserve release and comes as shipping costs climb on maritime risk.

72

Nio Posts First-Ever Quarterly Profit, But Stock Falls 3.9% on Mixed Analyst Reactions

Chinese EV maker Nio reported its first quarterly net profit Wednesday, beating Q4 earnings expectations, but shares fell 3.9% as analysts split over the sustainability of profitability and a controversial billion-dollar CEO compensation package. Trading volume surged 75% above the three-month average.

Top Story

IEA Announces Largest-Ever Oil Reserve Release as Iran Conflict Disrupts 20% of Global Supply

The International Energy Agency announced Wednesday it will release 400 million barrels from strategic reserves — the largest deployment in history — to counter supply disruptions from the Iran conflict that has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz. Despite the announcement, Brent crude surged 4.8% to $91.98 as three more vessels were struck in the strait overnight, with over 1,000 ships now stranded and 15 million barrels per day of crude trapped.

Tech & AI

Oracle Surges 9.2% on AI Revenue Beat, Raises 2027 Guidance to $90B

Oracle reported fiscal Q3 revenue of $17.2B (+22% YoY) and EPS of $1.79, beating estimates, while lifting its remaining performance obligations to $553B — more than quadrupling year-over-year. The cloud infrastructure giant raised full-year 2027 revenue guidance by $1B to $90B, calming investor fears over AI infrastructure ROI.

Navitas Semiconductor Jumps 25% on AI Data Center Power Platform Launch

Navitas Semiconductor closed up 24.9% Wednesday after launching new silicon carbide MOSFET and AI-focused power platforms targeting data center energy efficiency. The company is pivoting from consumer semiconductors to AI infrastructure, with a partnership in place with Nvidia to support its data centers.

Nvidia Announces $2B Investment in Mira Murati's Thinking Machines, Secures 1GW Chip Access

Nvidia struck a multiyear deal with Thinking Machines that includes a significant investment and access to at least one gigawatt of next-generation Vera Rubin chips. The agreement gives the young startup an enormous compute runway as competition intensifies over who can secure power, chips, and capital first in the AI race.

Crypto & Web3

Bitcoin Holds Above $70K as Institutional Flows Resume Amid Geopolitical Volatility

Bitcoin advanced 0.7% to $70,783 Wednesday, outperforming the Nasdaq, S&P 500, and gold during the Iran crisis. Spot ETF inflows have remained positive despite broader market weakness, with institutional allocation continuing to expand even as short-term traders exit positions.

MetaMask Integrates Uniswap API, Routing Trades Directly Through v2, v3, v4, and UniswapX

MetaMask integrated the Uniswap API as a primary swap provider Wednesday, allowing users to route trades directly through multiple Uniswap protocol versions across 16+ blockchain networks. The integration links MetaMask's built-in swap interface to Uniswap's routing engine rather than relying solely on general DEX aggregation.

What's Ahead

Thursday, March 12: Adobe, Dollar General, Dick's Sporting Goods, Lennar Earnings — Key reads on consumer spending, housing demand, and retail health. Adobe's digital media revenue will signal enterprise software strength, while Dollar General and Dick's offer insight into discretionary spending amid inflation concerns.
Friday, March 13: January PCE Price Index Release — The Fed's preferred inflation gauge arrives Friday, though it won't yet reflect the Iran conflict's energy impact. Markets are pricing 95% odds the Fed holds rates steady at the March 18 meeting, with July now the earliest expected cut.
Week of March 16: FOMC Meeting (March 18-19) — Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's final scheduled meeting before his term expires May 15. Markets expect no rate change, but guidance on energy-driven inflation risks and the policy outlook under a new chair will be closely watched.

Something Fascinating

Scientists Discover Tiny Plant Trick That Could Supercharge Crop Yields

Researchers announced Wednesday they've uncovered a molecular mechanism in hornwort plants that could help future crops capture carbon dioxide far more efficiently. The discovery, published this week, involves a unique protein feature called RbcS-STAR that causes the key photosynthesis enzyme Rubisco to cluster into dense formations, potentially revolutionizing agricultural productivity in a warming climate.

Morning.Brief — Wednesday, March 11, 2026

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